Vaprus Pärnu vs Sillamäe Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
TRA
3 - 1
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 5
TIN
16%
25%
59%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
FLO
3 - 0
PAR
82%
13%
6%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
RAK
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 4
LEV
9%
18%
73%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Sillamäe Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
SIK
1 - 4
FLO
20%
23%
58%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
PAI
1 - 3
SIK
31%
24%
46%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
SIK
0 - 1
KAL
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LEV
2 - 1
SIK
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SIK
5 - 1
TAM
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |