Vaprus Pärnu vs Sillamäe Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 1
PAI
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LEV
0 - 0
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 4
TIN
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
FLO
4 - 0
PAR
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TRA
5 - 0
PAR
57%
21%
21%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sillamäe Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SIK
2 - 1
TUL
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 4
SIK
12%
19%
69%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
SIK
1 - 0
LEV
23%
21%
57%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SIK
0 - 4
KAL
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SIK
2 - 0
TRA
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |