Vaprus Pärnu vs Nomme Kalju III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
FCE
3 - 2
PAR
49%
22%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 4
SKA
43%
22%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
TJK
1 - 4
PAR
52%
22%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FLO
3 - 2
PAR
15%
18%
67%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 2
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
KAL
0 - 2
VEL
13%
17%
69%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
KAL
2 - 1
TFA
33%
23%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
KAL
14 - 0
KAL
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 68 | 59 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
KAL
0 - 2
FLO
12%
19%
69%
|
10 | 53 | 43 | -1 |