Vaprus Pärnu vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
TJK
2 - 0
PAR
86%
10%
5%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
TAL
6 - 2
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
KUR
2 - 1
PAR
84%
9%
7%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 5
KAL
7%
16%
77%
|
33 | 80 | 47 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
TAL
5 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
JKJ
4 - 3
FLO
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
JKP
3 - 0
JKJ
7%
13%
80%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
KEI
1 - 0
JKJ
29%
23%
49%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
JKJ
3 - 1
KEI
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PAI
0 - 3
JKJ
15%
20%
64%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |