Vaprus Pärnu vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 4
PAR
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
FCB
1 - 7
PAR
11%
15%
74%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 0
EMM
38%
23%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
5 - 1
NOM
35%
23%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
TDU
2 - 3
PAR
27%
22%
51%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
JKJ
0 - 4
EMM
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
SKA
2 - 0
JKJ
75%
16%
10%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
JKJ
3 - 3
FCE
39%
25%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
VJK
0 - 5
JKJ
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +3 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 2
FCA
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |