Vaprus Pärnu vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
81.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 6
KAL
8%
17%
75%
|
34 | 78 | 44 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAI
12%
18%
70%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TUL
2 - 1
PAR
76%
14%
9%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
TAM
4 - 2
PAR
83%
12%
6%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
KUR
18%
20%
63%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2018 |
FLO
3 - 9
FLO
15%
18%
67%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
TAL
1 - 3
FLO
14%
20%
66%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
FLO
3 - 3
KAL
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PAI
0 - 2
FLO
17%
19%
64%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
TUL
0 - 6
FLO
8%
16%
77%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |