Vaprus Pärnu vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
77.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
TIN
1 - 0
PAR
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 5
KAL
11%
21%
68%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
SIK
4 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
PAI
4 - 1
PAR
79%
13%
9%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 1
PAI
27%
25%
49%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FLO
5 - 0
TOR
92%
6%
1%
|
78 | 34 | 44 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
FLO
4 - 0
RAK
86%
10%
3%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
TAM
3 - 2
FLO
7%
16%
77%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
FLO
2 - 1
TIN
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FLO
1 - 1
KAL
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |