Vaprus Pärnu vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
76.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
14%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
TIN
1 - 1
PAR
80%
12%
8%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
KAL
4 - 3
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 5
LEV
7%
15%
78%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PAI
3 - 3
PAR
68%
16%
16%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
SIK
3 - 3
PAR
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
FLO
1 - 3
FLO
17%
19%
64%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
FLO
2 - 3
TRA
81%
14%
6%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
SIK
0 - 1
FLO
28%
24%
48%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
FLO
0 - 0
TIN
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
FLO
1 - 1
LEV
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |