Vaprus Pärnu vs FC Flora Tallin III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 6
FLO
7%
13%
80%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SKA
4 - 3
PAR
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
EMM
3 - 2
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NOM
0 - 1
PAR
67%
18%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 3
FLO
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora Tallin III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FLO
1 - 3
FCA
22%
21%
56%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FLO
1 - 5
NOM
18%
20%
62%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 1
FLO
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FLO
2 - 3
TJK
23%
21%
57%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FLO
0 - 3
EMM
21%
21%
58%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -2 |