Vaprus Pärnu vs Ajax Lasnamäe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
49.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
WAR
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
TAL
4 - 0
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 2
TAL
52%
22%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
WAR
0 - 3
PAR
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +3 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 0
PAR
72%
16%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 1
TAL
70%
18%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
JOH
0 - 3
AJA
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
JOH
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
TAL
1 - 1
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 0
PAR
72%
16%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |