Pärnu JK Vaprus U18 vs FC Nomme U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.7%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
82.4%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
6.6%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
4.4%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
12.9%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
7.7%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+373%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pärnu JK Vaprus U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2025 |
PAR
3 - 2
FHT
9%
14%
77%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
JFP
3 - 2
PAR
74%
15%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
PAR
4 - 1
KJL
17%
18%
65%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
FC Nomme U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2025 |
FCN
5 - 1
TUL
59%
17%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
LEG
5 - 2
FCN
65%
16%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
FCN
2 - 7
HAR
83%
10%
7%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
FCN
2 - 2
JKT
64%
17%
20%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
FCN
2 - 5
PJK
57%
18%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |