Vaprus Pärnu II vs Raplamaa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
KOS
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
JKP
88%
9%
4%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
KEI
0 - 6
PAR
18%
18%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KEI
0 - 3
PAR
22%
19%
59%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
KUR
3 - 1
PAR
66%
17%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Raplamaa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
RAP
3 - 1
KOS
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
JKP
2 - 0
RAP
9%
14%
77%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
RAP
2 - 2
KEI
67%
16%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
RAP
4 - 3
TAB
27%
21%
53%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RAP
0 - 3
WEL
8%
16%
76%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | -2 |