Vaprus Pärnu II vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HLA
4 - 0
PAR
33%
23%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
5 - 2
SJL
84%
11%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
NOU
55%
22%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
PAR
18%
20%
62%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 1
TAZ
65%
18%
18%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 2
SSP
72%
15%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KEI
4 - 2
PAI
27%
21%
52%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
TAU
79%
13%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 2
PAI
22%
21%
57%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 0
SJL
87%
9%
5%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |