Vaprus Pärnu II vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
80.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
14%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
TAB
2 - 1
PAR
37%
21%
42%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 4
PAR
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 2
FLO
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 4
PAR
63%
18%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
PAR
5 - 1
HLA
27%
21%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PAI
2 - 1
TAB
93%
6%
2%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PAI
2 - 1
AJA
94%
5%
1%
|
54 | 19 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
PAI
4 - 4
JFP
90%
7%
3%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FLO
1 - 2
PAI
13%
17%
71%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
MAA
1 - 1
PAI
75%
14%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |