Vaprus Pärnu II vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
73.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
LAH
4 - 0
PAR
33%
20%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
POS
2 - 4
PAR
39%
22%
40%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 1
RAP
80%
12%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
KUR
3 - 0
PAR
24%
20%
56%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
PAR
3 - 0
TKA
62%
18%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
PAI
6 - 1
POS
92%
6%
2%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
PAI
13 - 2
MAS
88%
8%
4%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
RAP
0 - 0
PAI
5%
13%
82%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
PAI
2 - 1
KUR
91%
7%
3%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2019 |
TKA
1 - 1
PAI
8%
16%
77%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |