Vaprus Pärnu II vs Nõmme United II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HII
4 - 1
PAR
20%
18%
62%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SJL
0 - 4
PAR
41%
21%
37%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SSP
1 - 2
PAR
19%
17%
64%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RAP
3 - 2
PAR
12%
15%
73%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
VAN
57%
20%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nõmme United II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
NOU
7 - 0
KOS
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NOU
1 - 1
KEI
59%
19%
23%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TAB
0 - 1
NOU
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NOU
1 - 6
JKT
10%
16%
74%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HLA
4 - 1
NOU
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |