Vaprus Pärnu II vs Kose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.3%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
JKP
88%
9%
4%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
KEI
0 - 6
PAR
18%
18%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KEI
0 - 3
PAR
22%
19%
59%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
KUR
3 - 1
PAR
66%
17%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
KOS
0 - 3
PAR
9%
14%
78%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Kose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
JKP
1 - 4
KOS
38%
21%
41%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
NOU
3 - 2
KOS
86%
9%
5%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
KOS
0 - 3
PAR
9%
14%
78%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PAI
4 - 0
KOS
95%
5%
1%
|
15 | 53 | 38 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KOS
1 - 2
AJA
39%
21%
41%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |