Vaprus Pärnu II vs Keila JK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+114%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TAU
0 - 4
PAR
13%
15%
72%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
5 - 2
FLO
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TAB
2 - 3
PAR
17%
17%
67%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
7 - 1
JKT
21%
20%
59%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +5 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HLA
4 - 1
PAR
61%
20%
20%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Keila JK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KEI
3 - 1
SSP
27%
19%
55%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 1
KEI
64%
17%
19%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 4
KEI
61%
18%
21%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
KEI
2 - 5
KOS
74%
14%
12%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
JKP
2 - 3
KEI
9%
13%
78%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |