Vaprus Pärnu II vs Keila JK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
HLA
48%
21%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 2
TAB
70%
17%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
JKT
4 - 6
PAR
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
NOU
1 - 2
PAR
22%
19%
59%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
5 - 1
HII
56%
20%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Keila JK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
KOS
3 - 3
KEI
32%
20%
48%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
KEI
3 - 0
JKP
62%
17%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 0
KEI
94%
4%
1%
|
19 | 57 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 2
KEI
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
KEI
11 - 0
JKJ
83%
10%
7%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |