Vaprus Pärnu II vs Hiiumaa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 1
PAR
63%
17%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
SJL
61%
19%
20%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PAR
5 - 3
SSP
64%
18%
19%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
6 - 0
RAP
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
KOS
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Hiiumaa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
HII
3 - 2
KOS
78%
13%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
JKP
2 - 0
HII
7%
11%
82%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HII
1 - 1
KEI
80%
12%
8%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TAB
3 - 3
HII
30%
21%
49%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HII
4 - 3
JKT
10%
18%
72%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | +1 |