Vaprus Pärnu II vs FC Flora Tallin III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TAB
2 - 3
PAR
17%
17%
67%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
7 - 1
JKT
21%
20%
59%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +5 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HLA
4 - 1
PAR
61%
20%
20%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 1
NOU
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HII
4 - 1
PAR
20%
18%
62%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
FC Flora Tallin III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
FZS
1 - 4
FLO
10%
14%
77%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 4
SSP
78%
12%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 0
HII
75%
13%
12%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SSP
2 - 1
FLO
17%
18%
65%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 0
VAN
81%
11%
8%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |