Vaprus Pärnu II vs Otepää analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
17.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
4 - 0
TOR
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
4 - 0
IMA
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 2
SJK
38%
21%
41%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 1
RAP
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
4 - 0
FLO
52%
21%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Otepää
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
TUL
1 - 0
OTE
26%
19%
55%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
OTE
3 - 0
GAN
41%
21%
38%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TAB
3 - 1
OTE
78%
13%
10%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
OTE
1 - 2
TOR
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
OTE
3 - 1
IMA
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |