Parnamirim vs UNIVAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+563%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnamirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
PAR
40%
21%
39%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 5
PAR
26%
20%
54%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
LAG
33%
22%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
ALE
24%
20%
56%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
5 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UNIVAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
UVA
1 - 1
QFC
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |