Parnamirim vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
73.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1894%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnamirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
7 - 3
RFC
12%
16%
72%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 3
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
3 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
POT
2 - 0
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 6
VIC
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
POT
2 - 1
LAG
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
POT
9%
18%
73%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 6
POT
10%
15%
75%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 0
POT
64%
22%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
POT
1 - 0
BAH
26%
29%
45%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |