Parnamirim vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
56.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1894%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnamirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
5 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
POT
11%
15%
74%
|
12 | 49 | 37 | +7 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
7 - 3
RFC
12%
16%
72%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 3
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
3 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
POT
4 - 0
ALE
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 1
LAG
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 3
BAR
54%
23%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 2
ALE
27%
21%
53%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
3 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |