Parnahyba vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 2
YAP
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SAL
4 - 0
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 2
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
RIV
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 1
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SAL
4 - 1
GUR
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
INT
1 - 0
GUR
42%
25%
34%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
GUR
1 - 1
INT
65%
20%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
GUR
3 - 2
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 3
GUR
28%
26%
46%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |