Piauiense Inicial Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Parnahyba vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 0
PAR
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 1
RIV
38%
26%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
4DE
2 - 0
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PIC
0 - 0
PAR
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 3
ABC
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 0
PAR
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
FLA
26%
26%
49%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 0
RIV
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
FLA
89%
9%
2%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |