Parnahyba vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
RIV
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
PAR
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 2
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 0
PIC
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
CSA
0 - 1
CRB
31%
26%
44%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CRB
2 - 0
CSA
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 1
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 2
CSA
28%
29%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 1
CRB
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |