Parnahyba vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
CAC
3 - 0
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 3
PAR
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
PAR
5 - 0
PIA
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
RIV
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
PIC
0 - 1
PAR
28%
24%
49%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
4DE
1 - 2
RIV
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
4DE
2 - 0
FLA
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PIC
0 - 2
4DE
26%
24%
51%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PIA
2 - 2
4DE
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
4DE
4 - 0
CAI
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |