Parma U19 vs Vicenza U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
2º
7º
2º
35
3º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
95% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
74% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
CES
2 - 1
PAR
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
6 - 1
REG
89%
8%
3%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 3
PAR
22%
22%
56%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 0
ABL
66%
18%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CRE
0 - 1
PAR
47%
22%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
4 - 2
VIC
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 2
USA
66%
17%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VIC
0 - 2
CRE
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 1
VIC
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
VIC
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |