Parma U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
62.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
VER
1 - 2
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 2
BOL
23%
23%
55%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
VEN
2 - 2
PAR
82%
12%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 2
PAD
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CRE
5 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
6%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SPE
2 - 3
SPA
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
1 - 4
SPE
23%
21%
55%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SPE
2 - 0
BRE
74%
16%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 2
SPE
13%
19%
68%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
VEN
2 - 1
SPE
54%
21%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |