Parma U19 vs Pro Vercelli U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
11º
2º
33
2º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SUD
1 - 0
PAR
21%
20%
59%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 2
PAR
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 1
VIC
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
REG
0 - 2
PAR
17%
21%
63%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
PAR
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PRO
2 - 1
FER
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
REG
2 - 5
PRO
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 2
REN
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
PRO
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 0
VIC
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |