Parma U19 vs Pordenone U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
2º
7º
2º
18
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
95% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
74% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
PAR
20%
19%
61%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
VEN
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
COM
3 - 4
PAR
21%
19%
60%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ASS
0 - 2
PAR
41%
21%
38%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 2
VIC
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Pordenone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PUB
1 - 5
CIT
39%
22%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VIC
4 - 0
PUB
66%
17%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PUB
1 - 2
BRE
15%
17%
68%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 2
PUB
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PUB
0 - 6
GEN
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |