Parma U19 vs Padova U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
11º
2º
31
6º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CIT
1 - 2
PAR
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOD
73%
15%
12%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ABL
1 - 2
PAR
22%
21%
57%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
3 - 0
PRO
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SUD
1 - 0
PAR
21%
20%
59%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Padova U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PAD
0 - 0
FER
61%
20%
20%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VIR
1 - 0
PAD
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PAD
2 - 1
VEN
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
REG
1 - 2
PAD
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PAD
2 - 5
BRE
39%
23%
39%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |