Parma U19 vs Novara U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
EMP
0 - 3
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
LIV
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 2
PAR
53%
23%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAS
0 - 2
PAR
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
6 - 2
CAG
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 2
GEN
51%
23%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
NOV
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 2
SIE
70%
17%
12%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
EMP
2 - 0
NOV
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 3
NOV
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |