Parma U19 vs Cittadella U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAR
51%
25%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PAR
4 - 2
VAR
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 1
SAM
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
PAR
16%
21%
63%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
SPE
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Cittadella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ATA
1 - 1
CIT
84%
12%
4%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CIT
0 - 4
CES
17%
22%
61%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
INT
2 - 0
CIT
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CIT
2 - 1
CHI
8%
17%
75%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | +4 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SAS
2 - 0
CIT
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |