Parma Sub 18 vs Cagliari Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
14º
9º
50
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 0
PAR
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAM
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
SAS
0 - 1
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 3
INT
20%
19%
61%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LAZ
2 - 1
PAR
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 2
ASR
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 2
CAG
65%
18%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 1
BOL
21%
19%
60%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EMP
3 - 3
CAG
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 3
MIL
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |