Parma U17 vs Spezia U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
9º
6º
22
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
REG
0 - 2
PAR
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAS
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 2
PAR
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
7 - 1
NAP
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SPE
0 - 3
BOL
16%
19%
65%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SMP
1 - 0
SPE
36%
23%
42%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPE
1 - 0
MOD
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PIS
0 - 0
SPE
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 2
SPE
16%
17%
66%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |