Serie AB Sub 16 Knock-outs Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Parma U16 vs Atalanta U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
ATA
1 - 1
PAR
8%
14%
78%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
BNV
92%
6%
2%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 2
PAR
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 0
PAR
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
ATA
1 - 1
PAR
8%
14%
78%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
ATA
1 - 0
JUV
5%
11%
84%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 0
SDT
47%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |