Parma vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ABN
0 - 1
PAR
12%
21%
67%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 2
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VNZ
2 - 2
PAR
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAN
75%
18%
7%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
ACL
0 - 2
PAR
10%
21%
69%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SSS
1 - 2
FOR
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FAN
1 - 2
SSS
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 0
ASG
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
SSS
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
SSS
0 - 1
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |