Parma vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
30%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
19.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1980 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAR
71%
21%
8%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
PAR
2 - 3
TER
49%
31%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
PIS
2 - 0
PAR
61%
27%
12%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAR
58%
27%
16%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
PAR
0 - 0
ATL
44%
32%
24%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1980 |
SSS
0 - 0
PIS
39%
33%
29%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
LEC
1 - 1
SSS
57%
26%
17%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
VER
1 - 0
SSS
57%
27%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
SSS
1 - 0
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1980 |
TER
1 - 0
SSS
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |