Parma vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 0
PRO
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
USF
3 - 0
PAR
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 0
ASS
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
COS
1 - 2
PAR
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
MES
0 - 0
PAR
70%
20%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1963 |
SSS
2 - 0
ASS
43%
29%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
BRE
5 - 0
SSS
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
SSS
1 - 0
VER
38%
31%
31%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
UDI
2 - 2
SSS
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
SSS
0 - 0
FCC
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |