Parma vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1960 |
MAN
2 - 2
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 0
COM
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
TRI
4 - 1
PAR
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEC
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 0
VER
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
REG
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
TOR
1 - 1
SSS
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
SSS
1 - 1
CAG
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
COM
3 - 0
SSS
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |