Parma vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1959 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAR
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
LEC
3 - 0
PAR
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
PAR
0 - 1
VIG
64%
19%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRE
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
COM
5 - 2
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 0
CAG
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 1
ATL
32%
28%
41%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
BRE
3 - 1
SSS
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
SSS
0 - 0
LEC
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
REG
0 - 0
SSS
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |