Parma vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAG
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
USA
2 - 0
PAR
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
PAR
2 - 2
PRO
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAT
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
SSS
2 - 1
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
SSS
4 - 0
ASS
47%
24%
28%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
TAR
0 - 1
SSS
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
SSS
0 - 2
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
CAG
1 - 1
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |