Parma vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
SPB
1 - 0
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ROM
3 - 0
PAR
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ACM
1 - 0
PAR
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
TOR
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
ROM
26%
26%
49%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
SAM
2 - 0
ASC
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2007 |
INT
0 - 0
SAM
80%
15%
5%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
SAM
0 - 2
INT
19%
25%
56%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
SAM
0 - 3
INT
22%
26%
52%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
EMP
2 - 0
SAM
38%
29%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |