Parma vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 0
PAR
37%
27%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 0
AUS
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
REG
1 - 3
PAR
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
AUS
1 - 1
PAR
37%
28%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
3 - 3
PAL
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 0
PAL
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
CAG
0 - 0
SAM
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 2
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
SAM
3 - 2
CAG
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |