Parma vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FUL
1 - 2
PAR
58%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 3
PAR
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 2
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
CAG
0 - 1
PAR
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 0
ATL
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
TER
2 - 4
LEC
33%
26%
42%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
LEC
3 - 0
SAN
87%
10%
4%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
10%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEC
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 1
ACD
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |