Parma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
64.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 3
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
EMP
34%
27%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
NAP
3 - 0
PAR
88%
9%
3%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAG
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
INT
0 - 1
PAR
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
51%
23%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
EIN
4 - 1
LAZ
34%
26%
41%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ROM
3 - 1
LAZ
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
UDI
1 - 2
LAZ
22%
23%
55%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LAZ
4 - 1
GEN
74%
16%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |