Parma vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 1
PAR
81%
14%
6%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CAG
4 - 3
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 3
ACM
15%
23%
62%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
PAR
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 2
GEN
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 1
SAM
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CRO
1 - 2
UDI
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SPE
3 - 2
CRO
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NAP
4 - 3
CRO
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 3
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |